![]() | |
![]() | Cookies? |
| |||||||
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |||
![]() |
Abstract:![]()
CEP Discussion Paper
Cyclical Risk Aversion, Precautionary Saving and Monetary Policy Bianca De Paoli and Pawel Zabczyk March 2012 Paper No' CEPDP1132: Full Paper ![]() This paper analyzes the conduct of monetary policy in an environment in which cyclical swings in risk appetite affect households' propensity to save. It uses a New-Keynesian model featuring external habit formation to show that taking note of precautionary saving motives justifies an accommodative policy bias in the face of persistent, adverse disturbances. Equally, policy should be more restrictive - i.e. `lean against the wind' - following positive shocks. Since the size of these `risk-adjustments' is increasing in the degree of macroeconomic volatility, ignoring this channel could lead to larger policy errors in turbulent times - with good luck translating into good policy. |
![]() |
| ||||
Copyright © CVER & LSE 2015
- 2019
| LSE, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE | Tel: +44(0)20 7955 7048 | Email: CVER@lse.ac.uk | Site updated 07 December 2019
|