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Blog
The cost of Brexit is likely to be more than double that of COVID - it must be delayed John Van Reenen
October 2020
Paper No' :
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Tags: brexit; uk economy; trade

Blog
Monetary financing: why the government should not be worrying about the deficit Alan Manning
October 2020
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Tags: covid-19; deficit; uk economy

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CEP Covid-19 analysis
The business response to Covid-19: the CEP-CBI survey on technology adoption Capucine Riom and Anna Valero
September 2020
Paper No' CEPCOVID-19-009:
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Tags: covid-19; business performance; innovation; cbi; uk

Journal article
The effects of supporting local business: evidence from the UK Elias Einiö and Henry Overman
July 2020
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Tags: uk economy; employment; inequality; economic geography

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CEP Covid-19 analysis
Covid-19 and Brexit: Real-time updates on business performance in the United Kingdom Josh De Lyon and Swati Dhingra
July 2020
Paper No' CEPCOVID-19-006:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; economic downturn; business performance; cbi; uk; covid-19

Blog
COVID-19 and gender gaps: Latest evidence and lessons from the UK Claudia Hupkau and Barbara Petrongolo
April 2020
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Tags: covid-19; labour markets; labor markets; labour; labor; gender; education; childcare; uk

Blog
New chancellor, new challenge: evaluating the coronavirus budget Thomas Sampson
March 2020
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Tags: covid-19; public policy; budget; uk

Blog
Budget 2020: will it move the economy onto a sustainable and inclusive growth path? Anna Valero
March 2020
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Tags: brexit; covid-19; public policy; budget; uk; nhs; wellbeing; environment

Blog
Budget 2020: a bold response to coronavirus, but more must be done if it becomes widespread in the UK Thomas Sampson
March 2020
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Tags: covid-19; public policy; budget; uk; fiscal stimulus

Blog
Immigration is no longer the most pressing concern among the electorate Jonathan Wadsworth
December 2019
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Tags: campaigns; cep; migration; uk politics; immigration; brexit


This blog post is based on the 2019 CEP Election Analysis on Immigration
Journal article
Can Helping the Sick Hurt the Able? Incentives, Information and Disruption in a Welfare Reform Nitika Bagaria, Felix Koenig, Barbara Petrongolo and John Van Reenen November 2019
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Tags: employment; uk jobcentre plus; welfare; jobs; benefits

Blog
The UK’s housing crisis: what should the next government do? Paul Cheshire and Christian Hilber
November 2019
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Tags: housing; uk housing policy


Homes on the right tracks: Greening the Green Belt to solve the housing crisis
Blog
Brexit will leave the UK worse off economically in all scenarios Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson
November 2019
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Tags: brexit; trade; customs union; uk-eu border; 2019 general election


This blog post is based on the 2019 CEP Election Analysis on Brexit Economics
Blog
Economic consequences of Brexit are overwhelmingly negative Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson
November 2019
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Tags: brexit; trade; customs union; uk-eu border; 2019 general election


This blog post is based on the 2019 CEP Election Analysis on Brexit Economics
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CEP election analysis
Brexit economics Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson
November 2019
Paper No' CEPEA048:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; trade; customs union; uk-eu border; 2019 general election


Download Press Release
Journal article
The effect of house prices on household borrowing: A new approach James Cloyne, Kilian Huber, Ethan Ilzetzki and Henrik Kleven
June 2019
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Tags: house prices; borrowing; uk economy

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CEP discussion paper
Vehicle currency pricing and exchange rate pass-through Natalie Chen, Wanyu Chung and Dennis Novy
June 2019
Paper No' CEPDP1624:
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JEL Classification: F14; F31; F41


Tags: cpi; dollar; euro; exchange rate pass-through; inflation; invoicing; sterling; uk; vehicle currency pricing

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CentrePiece article
The price of Brexit Thomas Sampson
July 2018
Paper No' CEPCP528:
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CentrePiece 23 (2) Summer 2018


Tags: eu; brexit; uk economic growth; real wages; living standards

Journal article
UK trade and FDI: A post-Brexit perspective Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Veronica Rappoport, Thomas Sampson and Catherine Thomas March 2018
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Tags: brexit; uk trade; uk fdi; negotiations

Journal article
Immigration, trade and productivity in services: Evidence from U.K. firms Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano, Giovanni Peri and Greg C. Wright March 2018
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Tags: immigration; services trade; uk economy; productivity

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CEP Brexit analysis
The Brexit vote, inflation and UK living standards Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson
November 2017
Paper No' CEPBREXIT11:
Read Abstract | Press Release | Full Paper (pdf) | Technical Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; economic uncertainty; trade; eu; inflation; uk living standards

Journal article
Local economic effects of Brexit Swati Dhingra, Stephen Machin and Henry G. Overman
October 2017
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JEL Classification: F13; F15; F17; R1


Tags: brexit; eu and uk; local economic impacts; trade models

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CEP report
Industry in Britain - an atlas Sandra Bernick, Richard Davies and Anna Valero
September 2017
Paper No' CEPSP34:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | (pdf)

JEL Classification: R12;O25;O52


Tags: productivity; business performance; regional disparities; uk economy; industrial strategy

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CEP Brexit analysis
The local economic effects of Brexit Swati Dhingra, Stephen Machin and Henry G. Overman
July 2017
Paper No' CEPBREXIT10:
Read Abstract | Press Release | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; trade; uk economy; uk politics; north and south divide; uk living standards; local authorities

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CEP discussion paper
UK trade and FDI: a post-Brexit perspective Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Veronica Rappoport, Thomas Sampson and Catherine Thomas June 2017
Paper No' CEPDP1487:
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JEL Classification: F02; F13


Tags: brexit; uk trade; uk fdi; negotiations

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CEP election analysis
Real Wages and Living Standards in the UK Rui Costa and Stephen Machin
May 2017
Paper No' CEPEA036:
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Tags: real wages; uk 2017 general election; brexit; uk economy; labour market


Download Press Release
Journal article
A hitch-hiker's guide to post-Brexit trade negotiations: Options and principles Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Thomas Sampson March 2017
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Tags: brexit; uk-eu trade relations; negotiations

CEP report
UK growth: a new chapter Philippe Aghion, Terra Allas, Timothy Besley, John Browne, Francesco Caselli, Richard Davies, Richard Lambert, Rachel Lomax, Stephen Machin, G.I.P. Ottaviano, Christopher Pissarides, Isabelle Roland, Xavier Rolet, N Stern and Anna Valero February 2017
Paper No' CEPSP28B:
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Tags: gdp; innovation; infrasstructure; uk economy; skills; apprenticeships; education; growth; government policy; uk economy

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CentrePiece article
In brief... Social mobility in the United States Maria Molina-Domene
December 2016
Paper No' CEPCP492:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

CentrePiece 21 (3) Winter 2016
| View Video (pdf)

Tags: social mobility; usa; uk; raj chetty

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CentrePiece article
Spain's response to Brexit Luis Garicano
December 2016
Paper No' CEPCP491:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

CentrePiece 21 (3) Winter 2016


Tags: spain; uk; brexit; trade

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CentrePiece article
In brief: Weekend opening of GP practices Peter Dolton and Vikram Pathania
October 2016
Paper No' CEPCP482:
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CentrePiece 21 (2) Autumn 2016


Tags: national health service; uk health service; doctors

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CentrePiece article
Who voted Leave? Monica Langella and Alan Manning
October 2016
Paper No' CEPCP479:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

CentrePiece 21 (2) Autumn 2016


Tags: brexit; eu referendum; immigration; demographics; uk politics; uk economy

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CEP Brexit analysis
BREXIT 2016: policy analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Saul Estrin, Hanwei Huang, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson, John Van Reenen and Jonathan Wadsworth June 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT08:
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Tags: brexit; eu referendum; uk economy; uk politics; trade; foreign investment; growth; productivity; immigration; wages; labour

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CentrePiece article
Brexit: the final assessment John Van Reenen
June 2016
Paper No' CEPCP477:
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CentrePiece 21 (1) Summer 2016


Tags: eu referendum; uk economy; uk politics; brexit

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CEP Brexit analysis
Brexit and the impact of immigration on the UK Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, John Van Reenen and Jonathan Wadsworth
May 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT05:
Read Abstract | Press Release | Full Paper (pdf) | Technical Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; immigration; uk government policy; uk economy; wages; employment; eu referendum

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CEP Brexit analysis
The UK Treasury analysis of 'The long-term economic impact of EU membership and the alternatives': CEP Commentary Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen April 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT04:
Read Abstract | Press Release | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; hm treasury; eu referendum; uk politics; uk economy; europe; trade; canada

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CEP report
Why Governments Won't Invest Sir Vince Cable
March 2016
Paper No' CEPSP33:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: H54; H60; G10; H83


Tags: uk economy; public investment; public debt; government policy; infrastructure

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CEP real wages update
Slowing UK Wage Growth David Blanchflower and Stephen Machin
February 2016
Paper No' CEPRWU004:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: uk wage growth; labour market; government policy; average weekly earnings (awe); inflation; unemployment

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CEP election analysis
#ElectionEconomics: The Research Evidence on Key Issues for Voters in the 2015 UK General Election Ghazala Azmat, Brian Bell, Jonathan Colmer, Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Swati Dhingra, Christian Hilber, Stephen Machin, Alan Manning, Ralf Martin, Alistair McGuire, Sandra McNally, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Henry Overman, Isabelle Roland, Thomas Sampson, Anna Valero, John Van Reenen, Jonathan Wadsworth, Gill Wyness and Gabriel Zucman April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA034:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | Executive Summary (pdf)

Tags: 2015 uk general election; government policy; austerity; productivity; health; nhs; education; higher education; immigration; brexit; eu; inequality; real wages; unemployment; gender; management; productivity; uk housing; environment; climate change; uk cities; infrastructure; taxation

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SERC/Urban and Spatial Programme Policy Paper
Planes, Trains and Automobiles: The Economic Impact of Transport Infrastructure Steve Gibbons
April 2015
Paper No' SERCPP013:
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Tags: transport; infrastructure; uk economy

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CEP election analysis
Immigration and the UK Labour Market Jonathan Wadsworth
February 2015
Paper No' CEPEA019:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: immigration; european union; uk; government policy; education; labour market; jobs; wages

Journal article
The impact of a carbon tax on manufacturing: Evidence from microdata Ralf Martin, Ulrich J. Wagner and Laure B. de Preux
September 2014
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Tags: carbon tax; climate change levy; energy use; manufacturing; policy evaluation; uk; growth

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CEP election analysis
The Scottish Referendum: Breaking Up is Hard – and expensive - to Do John Van Reenen
September 2014
Paper No' CEPEA018:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: scottish referendum; uk economy

Blog
Leaving the European Union would likely have a significant negative impact on the UK’s economy Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen May 2014
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Tags: gianmarco ottaviano; joão paulo pessoa; john van reenen; lse comment; thomas sampson; brexit; cost to uk economy of leaving the eu; uk

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CentrePiece article
Falling real wages David Blanchflower and Stephen Machin
May 2014
Paper No' CEPCP422:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

CentrePiece 19 (1) Spring 2014


Tags: wage inequality; real wage growth; unemployment; usa; uk; great recession

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CEP discussion paper
The Impact of Mandatory Entitlement to Paid Leave on Employment in the UK Alexander C. Lembcke
March 2014
Paper No' CEPDP1262:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: J08; J23; J45


Tags: uk working time regulation; employment and labour regulation; uk lfs

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CentrePiece article
Economics of higher education Richard Murphy and Gill Wyness
February 2014
Paper No' CEPCP412:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

CentrePiece 18 (3) Winter 2014


Tags: higher education; uk; government policy

Blog
The state of the UK economy: Diagnosis, prognosis and recommended treatment John Van Reenen
January 2014
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Tags: john van reenen; lse comment; the euro; european economics; finance; business and regulation; economic growth; economics; infrastructure; uk; uk economy; unemployment

Journal article
Unemployment in the Great Recession Christopher A. Pissarides
July 2013
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Tags: unemployment; germany; usa; uk; recession; the great recession 2008

Blog
UK Spending Review 2013: A triumph of politics over reason? John Van Reenen
June 2013
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Tags: john van reenen; the euro; european economics; finance; business and regulation; budget; economics; spending cuts; spending review; uk; uk economy

Blog
The economic legacy of Margaret Thatcher is a mixed bag John Van Reenen
April 2013
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Tags: economy; john van reenen; margaret thatcher; thatcherism; uk

Blog
No Triple Dip does not mean a good recovery for the UK John Van Reenen
April 2013
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Tags: john van reenen; the euro; european economics; finance; business and regulation; welfare states and public services; west europe; economy; growth; recession; uk

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CEP report
Investing for Prosperity: Skills, Infrastructure and Innovation Philippe Aghion, Timothy Besley, John Browne, Francesco Caselli, Richard Lambert, Rachel Lomax, Christopher Pissarides, Nick Stern and John Van Reenen January 2013
Paper No' CEPSP28:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

Tags: gdp; innovation; infrasstructure; uk economy; skills; apprenticeships; education; government policy

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CentrePiece article
Pupils' progress: how children's perceptions influence their efforts Amine Ouazad and Lionel Page
February 2012
Paper No' CEPCP359:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

CentrePiece 16 (3) Winter 2012


Tags: education; uk;

Blog
Academy schools under Labour combated disadvantage and increased pupil achievement: the coalition’s new policy may exacerbate existing inequalities Stephen Machin and James Vernoit November 2010
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Tags: james vernoit; public services and the welfare state; stephen machin; academy schools; cep; education policy; gcse; government; politics; uk; uk government; uk politics

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SERC/Urban and Spatial Programme Discussion Paper
In Search of the 'Economic Dividend' of Devolution: Spatial Disparities, Spatial Economic Policy and Decentralisation in the UK Andy Pike, Andrés Rodríguez-Pose, John Tomaney, Gianpiero Torrisi and Vassilis Tselios October 2010
Paper No' SERCDP0062:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: D53; R51


Tags: economic dividend; devolution; spatial disparities; spatial economic policy; decentralisation; uk

Blog
To avoid creating a ‘lost generation’, with perhaps a fifth of all 18 year olds unemployed and outside training, a new push on apprenticeships would help Hilary Steedman September 2010
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Tags: economy and society; hilary steedman; apprenticeships; cep; economy; employment; neets; training; uk government; uk politics; young people

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SERC/Urban and Spatial Programme Discussion Paper
The Impact of University Research on Corporate Patenting Christian Helmers and Mark Rogers
September 2010
Paper No' SERCDP0054:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: L22; L26; O34


Tags: patents; universities; knowledge transfer; spillover; uk

Blog
LSE Centre for Economic Performance – A Note on Academy School Policy Stephen Machin and James Vernoit
August 2010
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Tags: james vernoit; public services and the welfare state; stephen machin; academies; cep; coalition; education policy; michael gove; politics; schools; uk; uk government

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SERC/Urban and Spatial Programme Discussion Paper
Modelling and Forecasting UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
August 2010
Paper No' SERCDP0052:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: G21; G28; G17; R28; R21; C51; C53; E27


Tags: foreclosures; mortgage possessions; mortgage payment delinquencies; mortgage arrears; uk mortgage market; defaults; unobserved components model

Blog
Hospital competition is good for patients, and for efficiency Zack Cooper
July 2010
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Tags: public services and the welfare state; zack cooper; centre for economic performance; cep; hospitals; nhs; politics; uk politics

Blog
LSE Centre for Economic Performance: Reducing Crime: More Police, More Prisons or More Pay? Olivier Marie
July 2010
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Tags: oliver marie; public services and the welfare state; cep; coalition; crime; fear of crime; policing; prisons; uk government; uk politics

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CEP policy analysis
Reducing Crime: More Police, More Prisons or More Pay? Olivier Marie
July 2010
Paper No' CEPPA012:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; prisons; uk


Read Main Summary Points
Blog
LSE Centre for Economic Performance – all election analyses are now available
May 2010
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Tags: central government and core executive functions; public services and the welfare state; cep; politics; uk; uk government; uk politics

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CEP election analysis
Health: Higher Spending has Improved Quality, But Productivity Must Increase Zack Cooper and Alistair McGuire
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA009:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: health; productivity; uk


Read Main Summary Points
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CEP election analysis
Reducing Crime: More Police, More Prisons or More Pay? Olivier Marie
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA007:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; prisons; uk


Read Main Summary Points
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CEP discussion paper
Networks in the Premodern Economy: the Market for London Apprenticeships, 1600-1749 Tim Leunig, Chris Minns and Patrick Wallis November 2009
Paper No' CEPDP0956:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: N3; J2; J6


Tags: apprenticeship; human capital formation; training; migration; networks; uk; early modern

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CEP discussion paper
The Economic Situation of First- and Second-Generation Immigrants in France, Germany and the United Kingdom Yann Algan, Christian Dustmann, Albrecht Glitz and Alan Manning October 2009
Paper No' CEPDP0951:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: J30; J61; J64


Tags: immigration; earnings; employment; education; france; germany; uk

Journal article
Evaluating the employment impact of a mandatory job search program Richard Blundell, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir and John Van Reenen June 2004
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Tags: equilibrium wage effects; new deal for young people; labor market; uk economy; employment

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CEP discussion paper
Comparatively Open: Statutory Information Disclosure for Consultation and Bargaining in Germany, France and the UK Howard Gospel and P Willman February 2004
Paper No' CEPDP0615:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: J5; J50; J51


Tags: collective bargaining; information disclosure; unions; germany; france; uk

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CEP discussion paper
The Geography of UK International Trade Henry Overman and L. Alan Winters
January 2004
Paper No' CEPDP0606:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: F15; F14; R12


Tags: uk trade; eec; economic geography

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CEP discussion paper
Unemployment in Britain: A European Success Story Christopher A. Pissarides
December 2003
Paper No' CEPDP0600:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: E5; J5; J64


Tags: unemployment in uk; monetary policy; beveridge curve; phillips curve

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CEP discussion paper
Trade Shocks and Industrial Location: the Impact of EEC Accession on the UK Henry Overman and L. Alan Winters
November 2003
Paper No' CEPDP0588:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: F15; F14; R12


Tags: uk manufacturing industry; eec; economic geography

Journal article
The effects of minimum wages on employment: theory and evidence from Britain Richard Dickens, Stephen Machin and Alan Manning
January 1999
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Tags: national minimum wage; uk; employment; wages